黄金走向九月份


摘要:周一美元指数收盘录得5连阳并企稳93关口,逐步摆脱此前疲软的状态。在强势美元的打压之下,黄金终于跌破3月以来上行趋势线,恐引发更大的抛售行情,金价后市不排除再次测试1863水平!

黄金的日线图表形态显示,昨日价格收盘失守3月23日低点1455以来的上行趋势线,破坏了过去5个多月的看涨结构。该趋势线在过去数月为价格上行提供了重要支撑,因此它的跌破或引发巨大的负面作用,恐打压价格迅速扩大跌幅。

另外,金价于8月7日创下纪录高点2075水平后一度剧烈下挫,随后的反弹力度一次比一次弱,暗示多头动能出现衰竭的迹象。一旦跌破1903(8月26日低点)~1900区域,则下行目标或进一步指向8月12日低点1863。

不过,如金价在未来数个交易日重返上述趋势线之上,恐导致行情继续维持近期的震荡格局。


一旦美元指数持续反弹,则黄金将扩大近期的回撤幅度,因两者存在明显的负相关联动——美元指数涨,黄金跌;美元指数跌,黄金涨。


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